Due to persistent vandalism, account creation has been suspended. If you would like an account, please contact Charlie Reams on Apterous.

Difference between revisions of "User:The Doctor/Series 71 Predictions"

From Countdown
m
m
Line 2: Line 2:
 
Predictions for [[Series 71]]:
 
Predictions for [[Series 71]]:
  
 +
'''Bold''' players are still in the competition.
 
==Datasets==
 
==Datasets==
 
===Normal Seedings===
 
===Normal Seedings===
 
{{Seed table}}
 
{{Seed table}}
{{Seed|1 |[[Dan McColm]]          |9|1,051}}
+
{{Seed|1 |[[Dan McColm]]          |9|1,051|w}}
{{Seed|2 |[[Antoinette Ryan]]    |8|859}}
+
{{Seed|2 |[[Antoinette Ryan]]    |9|941|w}}
{{Seed|3 |[[Tricia Pay]]          |8|857}}
+
{{Seed|3 |[[Tricia Pay]]          |8|857|w}}
{{Seed|4 |[[Mark Davies]]        |8|844}}
+
{{Seed|4 |[[Mark Davies]]        |8|844|w}}
{{Seed|5 |[[George Ford]]        |8|832}}
+
{{Seed|5 |[[George Ford]]        |8|832|w}}
{{Seed|6 |[[Laurence Killen]]    |8|794}}
+
{{Seed|6 |[[Laurence Killen]]    |8|794|w}}
{{Seed|7 |[[David Stanford]]      |7|624}}
+
{{Seed|7 |[[David Stanford]]      |7|689}}
 
{{Seed|8 |[[Paul Worsley]]        |6|707}}
 
{{Seed|8 |[[Paul Worsley]]        |6|707}}
 
{{Seed table end}}
 
{{Seed table end}}
Line 17: Line 18:
 
All figures are correct to three decimal places.
 
All figures are correct to three decimal places.
 
{{Seed table}}
 
{{Seed table}}
{{Seed|1 |[[Dan McColm]]          ||116.778}}
+
{{Seed|1 |[[Dan McColm]]          ||116.778|w}}
{{Seed|2 |[[Antoinette Ryan]]     ||107.375}}
+
{{Seed|3 |[[Tricia Pay]]         |Up 1|107.125|w}}
{{Seed|3 |[[Tricia Pay]]         ||107.125}}
+
{{Seed|4 |[[Mark Davies]]         |Up 1|105.5|w}}
{{Seed|4 |[[Mark Davies]]         ||105.5}}
+
{{Seed|2 |[[Antoinette Ryan]]     |Down 2|104.556|w}}
{{Seed|5 |[[George Ford]]        ||104}}
+
{{Seed|5 |[[George Ford]]        ||104|w}}
{{Seed|6 |[[Laurence Killen]]    ||99.25}}
+
{{Seed|6 |[[Laurence Killen]]    ||99.25|w}}
 
{{Seed|8 |[[Paul Worsley]]        |Up 1|88.375}}
 
{{Seed|8 |[[Paul Worsley]]        |Up 1|88.375}}
{{Seed|7 |[[David Stanford]]      |Down 1|78}}
+
{{Seed|7 |[[David Stanford]]      |Down 1|76.556}}
 
{{seed table end}}
 
{{seed table end}}
 
===Total Prelim Max Available===
 
===Total Prelim Max Available===
 
Paul Worsley only played seven games, his score has been multiplied by (8 ÷ 7), and has been rounded to zero decimal places.
 
Paul Worsley only played seven games, his score has been multiplied by (8 ÷ 7), and has been rounded to zero decimal places.
 
{{Seed table}}
 
{{Seed table}}
{{Seed|2 |[[Antoinette Ryan]]    |Up 1|1,093}}
+
{{Seed|2 |[[Antoinette Ryan]]    |Up 1|1,093|w}}
 
{{Seed|7 |[[David Stanford]]      |Down 5|1,035}}
 
{{Seed|7 |[[David Stanford]]      |Down 5|1,035}}
{{Seed|4 |[[Mark Davies]]        |Up 1|1,030}}
+
{{Seed|4 |[[Mark Davies]]        |Up 1|1,030|w}}
 
{{Seed|8 |[[Paul Worsley]]        |Up 4|1,030}}
 
{{Seed|8 |[[Paul Worsley]]        |Up 4|1,030}}
{{Seed|1 |[[Dan McColm]]          |Down 4|1,026}}
+
{{Seed|1 |[[Dan McColm]]          |Down 4|1,026|w}}
{{Seed|6 |[[Laurence Killen]]    ||1,020}}
+
{{Seed|6 |[[Laurence Killen]]    ||1,020|w}}
{{Seed|3 |[[Tricia Pay]]          |Down 4|1,016}}
+
{{Seed|3 |[[Tricia Pay]]          |Down 4|1,016|w}}
{{Seed|5 |[[George Ford]]        |Down 3|988}}
+
{{Seed|5 |[[George Ford]]        |Down 3|988|w}}
 
{{seed table end}}
 
{{seed table end}}
 
===Percentage Of Max Gained===
 
===Percentage Of Max Gained===
 
All figures are correct to three decimal places.
 
All figures are correct to three decimal places.
 
{{Seed table}}
 
{{Seed table}}
{{Seed|1 |[[Dan McColm]]          ||91.710%}}
+
{{Seed|1 |[[Dan McColm]]          ||91.710%|w}}
{{Seed|3 |[[Tricia Pay]]          |Up 1|84.350%}}
+
{{Seed|3 |[[Tricia Pay]]          |Up 1|84.350%|w}}
{{Seed|5 |[[George Ford]]        |Up 2|84.211%}}
+
{{Seed|5 |[[George Ford]]        |Up 2|84.211%|w}}
{{Seed|4 |[[Mark Davies]]        ||81.942%}}
+
{{Seed|4 |[[Mark Davies]]        ||81.942%|w}}
{{Seed|2 |[[Antoinette Ryan]]    |Down 3|78.591%}}
+
{{Seed|6 |[[Laurence Killen]]    |Up 1|77.843%|w}}
{{Seed|6 |[[Laurence Killen]]    ||77.843%}}
+
{{Seed|2 |[[Antoinette Ryan]]    |Down 4|77.512%|w}}
 
{{Seed|8 |[[Paul Worsley]]        |Up 1|69.246%}}
 
{{Seed|8 |[[Paul Worsley]]        |Up 1|69.246%}}
{{Seed|7 |[[David Stanford]]      |Down 1|60.290%}}
+
{{Seed|7 |[[David Stanford]]      |Down 1|59.602%}}
 
{{seed table end}}
 
{{seed table end}}
 
==Predictions==
 
==Predictions==
Line 71: Line 72:
 
| 6 = [[Laurence Killen]]     
 
| 6 = [[Laurence Killen]]     
 
| 7 = [[David Stanford]]     
 
| 7 = [[David Stanford]]     
| 2 = [[Antoinette Ryan]]     
+
| 2 = [[Antoinette Ryan]] | q2w = 2    
 
}}
 
}}

Revision as of 15:22, 15 December 2014

They're back! Predictions for Series 71:

Bold players are still in the competition.

Datasets

Normal Seedings

Rank Name Wins Points
1 Dan McColm 9 1,051
2 Antoinette Ryan 9 941
3 Tricia Pay 8 857
4 Mark Davies 8 844
5 George Ford 8 832
6 Laurence Killen 8 794
7 David Stanford 7 689
8 Paul Worsley 6 707

Average Scores

All figures are correct to three decimal places.

Rank Name Wins Points
1 Dan McColm 116.778
3 Tricia Pay Up 1 107.125
4 Mark Davies Up 1 105.5
2 Antoinette Ryan Down 2 104.556
5 George Ford 104
6 Laurence Killen 99.25
8 Paul Worsley Up 1 88.375
7 David Stanford Down 1 76.556

Total Prelim Max Available

Paul Worsley only played seven games, his score has been multiplied by (8 ÷ 7), and has been rounded to zero decimal places.

Rank Name Wins Points
2 Antoinette Ryan Up 1 1,093
7 David Stanford Down 5 1,035
4 Mark Davies Up 1 1,030
8 Paul Worsley Up 4 1,030
1 Dan McColm Down 4 1,026
6 Laurence Killen 1,020
3 Tricia Pay Down 4 1,016
5 George Ford Down 3 988

Percentage Of Max Gained

All figures are correct to three decimal places.

Rank Name Wins Points
1 Dan McColm 91.710%
3 Tricia Pay Up 1 84.350%
5 George Ford Up 2 84.211%
4 Mark Davies 81.942%
6 Laurence Killen Up 1 77.843%
2 Antoinette Ryan Down 4 77.512%
8 Paul Worsley Up 1 69.246%
7 David Stanford Down 1 59.602%

Predictions

Hypothesis

Dan McColm (1) vs Paul Worsley (8) Dan McColm (1) vs George Ford (5) Dan McColm (1)
vs
Tricia Pay (3)
George Ford (5) vs Mark Davies (4)
Tricia Pay (3) vs Laurence Killen (6) Tricia Pay (3) vs Antoinette Ryan (2)
David Stanford (7) vs Antoinette Ryan (2)
The winner of each game is displayed in bold.

Actuality

Dan McColm (1) vs Paul Worsley (8)
George Ford (5) vs Mark Davies (4)
Tricia Pay (3) vs Laurence Killen (6)
David Stanford (7) vs Antoinette Ryan (2)
The winner of each game is displayed in bold.